Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
GLE
2 - 1
LIN
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
CLI
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 3
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 0
CLI
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
64%
20%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
GLE
3 - 4
CRU
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 3
CRU
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |