Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
LIN
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 1
COL
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 3
CRU
11%
19%
70%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |