Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 0
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIN
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIN
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 1
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CLI
0 - 2
CRU
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 2
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |