Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
LIN
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
7 - 1
BAL
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
63%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
15%
22%
64%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 0
WAR
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
64%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |