Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIN
20%
21%
58%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
PSN
0 - 3
LIN
13%
18%
69%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 4
LIN
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 0
INS
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 3
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 4
CRU
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |