Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
COL
1 - 1
LIN
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
LIN
2 - 2
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
CLI
1 - 4
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
LIN
0 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 0
OMA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2001 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
GLE
2 - 0
CRU
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
CRU
2 - 3
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |