NIFL Premiership Normal Season Round 30

Linfield vs Ballymena United analysis

Linfield Ballymena United
78 ELO 71
6.9% Tilt 4.3%
1508º General ELO ranking 2173º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Linfield
22%
Draw
19.5%
Ballymena United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Linfield
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.5%
Win probability
Ballymena United
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Linfield
+18%
+14%
Ballymena United

ELO progression

Linfield
Ballymena United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2019
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 1
Linfield
LIN
42%
23%
35%
78 72 6 0
09 Feb. 2019
LIN
Linfield
3 - 2
Coleraine
COL
60%
22%
18%
78 71 7 0
02 Feb. 2019
LIN
Linfield
1 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
45%
23%
33%
78 76 2 0
28 Jan. 2019
LIN
Linfield
4 - 2
Glentoran
GLE
78%
15%
7%
78 58 20 0
22 Jan. 2019
NEW
Newry City
0 - 2
Linfield
LIN
8%
20%
73%
78 54 24 0

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2019
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 1
Linfield
LIN
42%
23%
35%
72 78 6 0
11 Feb. 2019
BAL
Ballymena United
4 - 1
Portadown
POR
81%
12%
7%
72 55 17 0
09 Feb. 2019
INS
Institute
1 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
18%
23%
59%
72 57 15 0
26 Jan. 2019
BAL
Ballymena United
4 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
85%
11%
4%
71 50 21 +1
19 Jan. 2019
GLE
Glenavon
0 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
49%
24%
27%
71 71 0 0