Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 1-2
Linfield vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
B36
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
B36
1 - 2
LIN
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 5
LIN
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 2
GLE
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
AIK
3 - 0
KAL
46%
27%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
ATV
0 - 3
AIK
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
AIK
4 - 2
BRO
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
MFF
2 - 2
AIK
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
AIK
2 - 1
ELF
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |