Linare vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
12º
2º
39
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
LIN
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CCX
0 - 0
LIN
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
LFC
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LMP
0 - 0
LIN
40%
30%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
MFC
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 0
LIO
36%
30%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
MFC
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 1
LMP
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 0
GAL
44%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |