Linare vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 4
LIN
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JOY
1 - 4
LIN
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 2
LIK
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 0
LIK
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 2
LCS
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LDF
0 - 1
LIO
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LIO
2 - 0
LMP
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LIO
0 - 1
LDF
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAT
1 - 2
LIO
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |