Limoges vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limoges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 3
LEG
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LES
2 - 1
LIM
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 2
PAU
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LIM
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIM
2 - 0
ANG
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 2
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 1
AUX
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
3 - 3
AUX
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
AUX
0 - 1
RED
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
2 - 3
AUX
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |