First Division Round 10

Limerick vs Mervue United analysis

Limerick Mervue United
74 ELO 48
-5.7% Tilt 8.9%
21157º General ELO ranking 21958º
60º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
79.5%
Limerick
14.8%
Draw
5.7%
Mervue United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
Limerick
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.7%
Win probability
Mervue United
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Limerick
Mervue United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Limerick
Limerick
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2012
LIM
Limerick
0 - 1
Waterford United
WAT
71%
19%
10%
74 60 14 0
21 Apr. 2012
FIN
Finn Harps
1 - 3
Limerick
LIM
12%
22%
66%
72 52 20 +2
13 Apr. 2012
WEX
Wexford Youths
0 - 1
Limerick
LIM
11%
21%
69%
71 48 23 +1
09 Apr. 2012
LIM
Limerick
3 - 0
Cork City
CAO
51%
24%
25%
69 66 3 +2
06 Apr. 2012
LIM
Limerick
1 - 2
Longford Town
LON
73%
18%
9%
70 54 16 -1

Matches

Mervue United
Mervue United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2012
MER
Mervue United
3 - 0
Finn Harps
FIN
35%
26%
40%
46 52 6 0
21 Apr. 2012
LON
Longford Town
4 - 2
Mervue United
MER
66%
20%
14%
46 56 10 0
13 Apr. 2012
SAL
Salthill Devon
2 - 2
Mervue United
MER
30%
24%
46%
46 33 13 0
06 Apr. 2012
MER
Mervue United
0 - 0
Waterford United
WAT
25%
26%
49%
44 57 13 +2
30 Mar. 2012
WEX
Wexford Youths
2 - 0
Mervue United
MER
50%
23%
27%
45 45 0 -1