Limerick vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
GAL
3 - 0
LIM
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LIM
1 - 2
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KIL
2 - 0
LIM
66%
21%
14%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SLR
1 - 0
LIM
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LIM
1 - 0
BRW
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FIN
0 - 1
UCD
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
KIL
0 - 1
FIN
25%
27%
49%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FIN
1 - 0
COB
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 2
FIN
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
FIN
2 - 2
KIL
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |