Limavady vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LIN
3 - 0
LIM
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
LIM
0 - 1
DON
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LIM
2 - 2
CLI
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 0
LIM
62%
20%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LIM
2 - 1
DON
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DON
0 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
INS
0 - 1
LAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
48%
22%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |