Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
DIJ
3 - 0
LIL
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PSG
3 - 1
LIL
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 2
LIL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 0
GIR
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 2
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
NIC
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 1
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |