Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
REN
0 - 0
LIL
38%
24%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
LIL
3 - 0
GIR
69%
17%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
STR
1 - 0
LIL
36%
23%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
LIL
5 - 0
LEN
78%
14%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SÈT
1 - 1
LIL
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
LHA
4 - 1
NIC
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
NIC
2 - 1
SÈT
60%
19%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
NIC
2 - 1
TFC
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
RAC
0 - 3
NIC
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |