Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1991 |
CAE
0 - 0
LIL
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
NIC
4 - 1
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1991 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
MPL
1 - 2
LIL
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1991 |
ASN
4 - 0
MON
28%
31%
40%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1991 |
CAN
1 - 0
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
MAR
6 - 2
ASN
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
ASN
0 - 2
GIR
36%
32%
32%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |