Lille vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
LIL
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 2
ETG
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 3
LIL
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 2
LIL
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 0
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
LOR
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
BRE
60%
24%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |