Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-2
Lille vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
WAA
0 - 1
LIL
17%
25%
58%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 0
OOS
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 0
RED
59%
26%
16%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
DUN
69%
21%
10%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
FKQ
2 - 0
MTK
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
MTK
1 - 2
FKQ
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
FKQ
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
FKQ
5 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 1
FKQ
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |