Lille vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 2
LIL
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
REN
0 - 0
LIL
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
REI
2 - 1
LIL
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 2
MPL
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 3
ETG
33%
28%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
LYO
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 2
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
ETG
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |