Lille vs USL Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LIL
4 - 1
ASS
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
6 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
16%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
STR
2 - 1
LIL
26%
27%
47%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
LIV
2 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
2 - 1
NIC
64%
21%
15%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
FCM
59%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
ANN
0 - 2
DUN
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 3
DUN
11%
18%
71%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
PAU
1 - 1
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |