Lille vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
LIL
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 2
LIL
27%
28%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
GIR
51%
23%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 1
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ASN
0 - 0
ARL
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 1
VAL
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GIR
0 - 0
ARL
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 2
MON
20%
28%
52%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 0
ARL
64%
23%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |