Lille vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 0
LIL
53%
27%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LYO
0 - 0
LIL
73%
17%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LIL
0 - 0
SED
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 0
LIL
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIC
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
LHA
0 - 1
AJA
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 6
GIR
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 4
MON
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |