Ligny vs Spy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
WEP
1 - 1
LIG
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
MOL
42%
22%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 3
LIG
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 5
NIS
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARQ
0 - 0
LIG
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SPY
7 - 3
MEU
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LOY
5 - 0
SPY
64%
18%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPY
3 - 1
ANH
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
SPY
49%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SPY
3 - 0
AND
57%
20%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |