Liga de Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BSC
1 - 1
LIG
44%
29%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LIG
3 - 2
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
LIG
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 2
CUE
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
2 - 0
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
TEC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |