Liestal vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCT
4 - 2
LIE
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LIE
1 - 1
LAU
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
POR
5 - 3
LIE
27%
24%
50%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LIE
2 - 5
BLA
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 5
LIE
18%
20%
62%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
CON
3 - 0
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
WIN
4 - 5
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
STG
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 3
LUG
35%
24%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LAU
2 - 3
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |