Topklasse Championship Finals Final
Global 3-4
Lienden vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 0
DET
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAG
0 - 1
LIE
18%
24%
57%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 0
KON
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TIE
0 - 1
LIE
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 0
HSC
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
KOZ
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DVS
0 - 3
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
RIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |