Lichterfelder vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 1
LIC
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
4 - 1
WAL
27%
24%
50%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 1
LIC
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
5 - 3
WAR
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIC
2 - 1
POM
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BFC
3 - 0
HAN
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
BFC
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 1
LIC
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
BFC
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BFC
3 - 0
LUC
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |