Lichtenrader vs Stern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenrader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TSV
6 - 2
LIC
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FRO
1 - 1
LIC
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
GSC
5 - 2
LIC
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -8 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
LIC
2 - 0
OPT
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
MAL
5 - 3
LIC
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 2
SFC
70%
17%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
TSV
91%
7%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 2
BSC
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 4
BSC
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 0
BWB
11%
16%
74%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |