Lichtenberg vs Preussen Eberswalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
OPT
2 - 1
LIC
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
LIC
0 - 0
BSC
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
HAN
2 - 1
LIC
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
LIC
2 - 0
BAK
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
HER
2 - 0
LIC
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Preussen Eberswalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
PRE
2 - 0
NEU
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
STA
0 - 0
PRE
57%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PRE
2 - 0
KSC
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SCH
6 - 1
PRE
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
PRE
0 - 3
MSV
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |