African WC Qual. Group D Round 8

Libya vs Swaziland analysis

Libya Swaziland
66 ELO 56
-7.4% Tilt -19.7%
2185º General ELO ranking 3711º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.8%
Libya
21%
Draw
16.2%
Swaziland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
Libya
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.2%
Win probability
Swaziland
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Libya
+12%
-3%
Swaziland

ELO progression

Libya
Swaziland
Angola
Cape Verde
Cameroon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libya
Libya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2025
CMR
Cameroon
3 - 1
Libya
LBY
67%
21%
12%
66 81 15 0
20 Mar. 2025
LBY
Libya
1 - 1
Angola
ANG
32%
28%
40%
66 76 10 0
18 Nov. 2024
LBY
Libya
0 - 0
Benin
BEN
41%
25%
34%
66 66 0 0
14 Nov. 2024
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 1
Libya
LBY
33%
28%
40%
65 62 3 +1
15 Oct. 2024
LBY
Libya
0 - 3
Nigeria
NGA
19%
23%
58%
66 83 17 -1

Matches

Swaziland
Swaziland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2025
SWZ
Swaziland
1 - 2
Tanzania
TAN
35%
28%
37%
56 62 6 0
09 Jun. 2025
MAD
Madagascar
1 - 1
Swaziland
SWZ
54%
24%
23%
56 64 8 0
23 Mar. 2025
SWZ
Swaziland
3 - 3
Mauritius
MUS
71%
18%
11%
56 36 20 0
19 Mar. 2025
SWZ
Swaziland
0 - 0
Cameroon
CMR
14%
24%
63%
56 81 25 0
29 Dec. 2024
MAD
Madagascar
0 - 1
Swaziland
SWZ
60%
22%
18%
55 65 10 +1