Arab Cup Qualifying Final

Libya vs Sudan analysis

Libya Sudan
65 ELO 65
-3.6% Tilt -19.5%
2075º General ELO ranking 2218º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.7%
Libya
24.9%
Draw
22.5%
Sudan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
Libya
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.5%
Win probability
South Sudan
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Libya
+16%
+25%
Sudan

ELO progression

Libya
South Sudan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libya
Libya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2021
LBR
Liberia
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
28%
27%
45%
66 59 7 0
28 Mar. 2021
TAN
Tanzania
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
33%
27%
40%
67 61 6 -1
25 Mar. 2021
LBY
Libya
2 - 5
Tunisia
TUN
21%
25%
54%
67 83 16 0
25 Jan. 2021
CGO
Congo
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
43%
28%
30%
68 68 0 -1
21 Jan. 2021
LBY
Libya
1 - 1
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
COD
33%
25%
42%
68 74 6 0

Matches

South Sudan
South Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2021
SDN
South Sudan
0 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
27%
26%
48%
64 76 12 0
28 Mar. 2021
SDN
South Sudan
2 - 0
South Africa
RSA
16%
22%
63%
63 80 17 +1
24 Mar. 2021
STP
Sao Tome and Principe
0 - 2
South Sudan
SDN
12%
19%
70%
62 40 22 +1
17 Nov. 2020
SDN
South Sudan
1 - 0
Ghana
GHA
18%
25%
57%
61 82 21 +1
12 Nov. 2020
GHA
Ghana
2 - 0
South Sudan
SDN
80%
15%
6%
62 82 20 -1