Africa Cup of Nations Round 2

Libya vs Côte d'Ivoire analysis

Libya Côte d'Ivoire
74 ELO 86
-5.8% Tilt -8.1%
2141º General ELO ranking 278º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.4%
Libya
23.5%
Draw
58.1%
Côte d'Ivoire

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
Libya
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.1%
Win probability
Côte d'Ivoire
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Libya
+12%
-2%
Côte d'Ivoire

ELO progression

Libya
Côte d'Ivoire
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libya
Libya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2006
EGY
Egypt
3 - 0
Libya
LBY
87%
9%
4%
75 88 13 0
12 Jan. 2006
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
66%
21%
13%
75 87 12 0
02 Jan. 2006
QAT
Qatar
2 - 0
Libya
LBY
60%
22%
18%
76 81 5 -1
02 Dec. 2005
UAE
UAE
1 - 1
Libya
LBY
55%
24%
22%
76 77 1 0
16 Nov. 2005
LBY
Libya
2 - 1
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
COD
47%
26%
28%
76 76 0 0

Matches

Côte d'Ivoire
Côte d'Ivoire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2006
MAR
Morocco
0 - 1
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
53%
24%
23%
86 88 2 0
17 Jan. 2006
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
2 - 0
Jordan
JOR
66%
21%
13%
86 79 7 0
16 Nov. 2005
ITA
Italy
1 - 1
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
74%
18%
7%
86 97 11 0
12 Nov. 2005
ROU
Romania
1 - 2
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
73%
18%
9%
85 93 8 +1
08 Oct. 2005
SDN
Sudan
1 - 3
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
21%
27%
52%
85 67 18 0