Libya vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
0 - 0
DMA
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ALG
2 - 1
LBY
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 1
COD
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 0
SDN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAM
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
ZIM
3 - 2
NAM
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NAM
1 - 0
ETH
24%
22%
53%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
COD
3 - 2
NAM
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
NAM
0 - 1
RSA
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |