Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
LIB
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
SGI
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
3 - 0
SGI
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |