Libertas vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MUR
3 - 4
LIB
46%
23%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
TFI
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 2
TPE
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 4
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
DOM
6 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
TPE
0 - 2
TFI
71%
17%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
TPE
1 - 1
FIO
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 0
TPE
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 2
TPE
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 3
TPE
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |