Libertas vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
DOM
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 1
VIR
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
4 - 1
SGI
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAE
3 - 0
MUR
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
DOM
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 3
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |