Libertas vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
LIB
27%
28%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
FAE
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 4
MUR
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
2 - 0
MUR
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
5 - 3
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
MUR
15%
23%
62%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -2 |