Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
TFI
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 1
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
DOM
0 - 3
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 1
FOL
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 1
TFI
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 0
SGI
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |