Libertas vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
FIO
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DOM
4 - 1
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAI
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 3
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 0
CAI
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |