Libertas vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 0
DOM
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SGI
0 - 1
LIB
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 0
LIB
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 0
TPE
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
CAI
2 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
FIO
0 - 4
CAI
28%
25%
46%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 3
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MUR
3 - 3
CAI
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
CAI
1 - 2
FAE
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |