Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LQE
2 - 1
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
SLO
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 0
AME
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
CCP
35%
25%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RÑU
3 - 1
AME
44%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
2DE
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |