Libertad vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
1º
1º
25
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOR
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 3
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 1
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 0
LQE
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
JLM
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 0
SPT
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
JLM
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |