Libertad vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
AME
0 - 0
LIB
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
TAC
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RÑU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |