Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 2-2
Libertad vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 0
LIB
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
LIB
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIB
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
FLA
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
PPE
47%
26%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |