Liaoning Whowin vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liaoning Whowin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HAN
3 - 4
LIA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LIA
3 - 0
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
6 - 0
LIA
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TIT
1 - 2
LIA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LIA
0 - 2
JIA
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 1
TIT
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JIA
2 - 3
BEI
32%
27%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 0
HAR
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 2
BEI
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 1
GUI
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |