1st Division Round 4

Nykøbing FC vs Aarhus Fremad analysis

Nykøbing FC Aarhus Fremad
55 ELO 53
6.6% Tilt 10.7%
4766º General ELO ranking 1498º
50º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
54.9%
Nykøbing FC
23.5%
Draw
21.7%
Aarhus Fremad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
Nykøbing FC
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.7%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nykøbing FC
+17%
+11%
Aarhus Fremad

ELO progression

Nykøbing FC
Aarhus Fremad
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nykøbing FC
Nykøbing FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2007
SIF
Silkeborg IF
1 - 1
Nykøbing FC
LFA
65%
21%
14%
56 65 9 0
12 Aug. 2007
LFA
Nykøbing FC
1 - 0
Hvidovre IF
HVI
56%
23%
21%
55 51 4 +1
05 Aug. 2007
OLS
Ølstykke FC
1 - 0
Nykøbing FC
LFA
44%
25%
31%
55 53 2 0
09 Jun. 2007
ROS
Roskilde
0 - 3
Nykøbing FC
LFA
29%
26%
46%
55 47 8 0
03 Jun. 2007
LFA
Nykøbing FC
5 - 0
Copenhague II
FCK
58%
22%
20%
54 50 4 +1

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2007
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 3
SonderjyskE
SON
24%
24%
52%
53 63 10 0
12 Aug. 2007
FRE
Fredericia
1 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
58%
23%
19%
53 60 7 0
04 Aug. 2007
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 1
Herfølge BK
HER
33%
26%
41%
53 59 6 0
24 Jun. 2007
THI
Thisted
1 - 3
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
46%
25%
29%
52 51 1 +1
17 Jun. 2007
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 2
Lyngby BK
LYN
16%
20%
64%
53 67 14 -1