Leyton Orient vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
PLY
4 - 0
LEY
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
GRI
0 - 4
LEY
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LEY
3 - 1
WAL
52%
25%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 0
LEY
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
LEY
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
CUM
0 - 2
NOR
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PLY
2 - 0
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 1
BPO
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 4
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |