Lex XI vs Mynydd Isa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
RTW
4 - 2
LEX
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LEX
3 - 2
GRE
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 2
BAL
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LEX
1 - 1
LLA
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 0
LEX
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mynydd Isa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 2
MYN
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
MYN
3 - 2
RTW
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
MYN
2 - 1
FLI
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
MYN
21%
22%
58%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
MYN
0 - 1
LLA
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |