Lewes vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
0 - 2
LEW
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
LEW
2 - 1
BIS
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 5
LEW
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
LEW
2 - 0
SUT
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
LEW
0 - 0
THU
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
WEL
1 - 0
WEY
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 0
WEL
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
HAV
0 - 0
WEL
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
WEL
3 - 3
MAI
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
HAY
1 - 3
WEL
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |